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The future of the gun industry after Trump 

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There is little doubt that America is the gun capital of the world, at least when guns are in the hands of a free people. In effect, Americans own far more guns than any other nation on Earth when it comes to household ownership by anyone clear of a criminal record in the US.

There is a dark side here, and that is we have another segment of the population in the US that shouldn’t even own a sling shot much less an autoloading assault rifle, for example.

The second amendment

In this area there is a great deal of room for discussion, and it all comes down to the second amendment of the US constitution being adhered too.

With the president-elect, Mr Joe Biden, now at the forefront of the discussion, there are some real concerns that gun ownership at some level could go off the rails.

However, in my opinion, and after observing several past presidents try and reduce the level of private gun ownership by both magazine capacity regulations and weapons types, the road has carried with it a turn toward a very slippery slope.

As stated in the US Constitution, the second amendment says these rights shall not be infringed upon.

However, the amendment is not saying anything about weapons classifications and, as such, that topic is still wide open for discussion and we will likely see some of that subject-directed rhetoric tossed around in the near future.

The industry in general

With this very light background, the question of the industry picture in all this transition can best be addressed by understanding the following.

First, the firearms industry has made use of everything from the mom and pop garage business to the back street one-room gun shop, and secondly, the thousands of acres that make up the big gun builders in this country.

With gun companies in transition, and by that I mean being bought and sold like used cars of late, there is no rock-solid conclusion as to who will do what and when in terms of production and marketing within the industry.

I believe that, in general, the industry is so large and spread out, with so many underlying elements also involved in the whole process, that to even think the industry is going away is a bit far off base.

Along with the gun industry go ammunition, reloading optics, general equipment, clothing, and websites such as Not to mention sports field supplies, and even motor vehicles, boats, and aircraft.

If the industry were to fail due to some political move by the incoming administration, the effects of that when the base of the US economy is currently, and has been, on a rocky road for years, would certainly cause huge additional negative consequences.

Be advised, my friends, that I am no economist or politician, and the working of the government can shift overnight, if not after lunch by such judging we see on television each evening.

With that stated, however, the question of enacting legislation that will limit production or even eliminate manufacturing of some types of weapons is, in my opinion, a very real possibility.

Previous restrictions

When the President of the United States Bill Clinton, for example came into power, certain restrictions were enacted. These included:

  • banning the importation of assault rifles (AK-47s)

  • the use of high-cap magazines in American-built autoloading rifles

  • and extra ink added to the ATF paper trail when guns were purchased by the general public.

With the change of administration in January 2021, I believe there will be changes, but the destruction of the American firearms industry would currently seem to be a bit of a stretch.

At this time, it is obvious that gun owners in the US are increasing by leaps and bounds, and everything from small rimfire ammo to the heavy stuff, as well as any kind of middle-range-priced rifle or handgun, are just not available at all.

In effect, the shelves are empty. Any orders that do come through almost never see the showroom floor due to back ordering and, in general, firearms such as working defense shotguns and handguns are at least three to five months out in terms of retail delivery.

Industry survival

Some of the problems regarding firearms and ammunition availability have been due to COVID-19, and production is slow due to plant shutdowns.

But rest assured, folks, the major thing here is people fearing the negative future of guns, as well as the unknowns of the imminent politics here in the US.

As for the survival of the industry? I believe that, as with other times in our history, there could be some rough days. But in the end, we will overcome the issues and remain who and what we are. A great nation.

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